Economy: Economic News, Policy & Analysis - The Washington Post: The problem of overfitting elections, in one brilliant cartoon

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The problem of overfitting elections, in one brilliant cartoon
Oct 18th 2012, 18:57

Nate Silver's "The Signal and the Noise" (recommended, buy it, read it, etc.) includes a great discussion of the problem of "overfitting": When you see apparent relationships in data that aren't really there. His example:

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